Background The Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources (DOER) published its long-awaited energy plan on December 12th. DOER had been directed by Governor Charlie Baker in a September 2016 executive order to publish a “Comprehensive Energy Plan” (CEP) for the commonwealth. The CEP articulates the state’s high-level strategy to meet its commitment to reduce GHG emissions […]
2018 Coal Burn at 644 Million Tons, Gas Burn at ~29 BCFD
EVA’s Monthly Gas & Coal Price Sensitivity Outlook forecasts that 2018 will end with Lower-48 coal burn at 644 million tons. 2017 annual power-sector coal burn was 666 million tons– 22 million tons more than in 2018. Going into September, coal burn was expected to fall by 25 million tons YoY. However, higher cash and […]
Gas Week 47 Record-Withdrawal Adds to Uncertainty in Natural Gas Market Heading into Winter Season
On November 21, EIA announced the first withdrawal for this winter season, a massive -134 BCF net withdrawal for gas week ending 11/15. This brought a massive drop in gas inventories, pushing gas stocks down to 3,113 BCF, 710 BCF lower than the 5-year average. This withdrawal was also much higher than market expectations, which […]
EVA’s 2017 Power Plant Performance Report Featured in Most Recent Power Engineering Magazine
EVA’s annual Power Plant Performance Report is featured in the June issue of PennWell’s Power Engineering magazine. The Power Plant Performance Report is based on data and analysis provided by EVA’s analysts. The data is collected from Form EIA 923 “Power Plant Report” and EPA’s Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS). It was another year of […]
Pipeline Explosion at TCO Likely to Impact Flows and Prices
A pipeline explosion occurred around 4:15 am on June 7, 2018, on TransCanada’s Columbia Gas (TCO) Midstream pipeline. Although the exact location remains unclear, the incident may be related to an explosion on a well pad or line in Marshall County, West Virginia. Shortly after the pipeline explosion, TCO issued a critical notice declaring Force […]
April Coal Exports Reach Highest Level Since March 2013 As U.S. Traders Take Advantage of Strong World Coal Market
April coal exports continue to be the lone bright star for domestic coal producers as domestic coal demand fails to rebound from already dire 2017 levels. Strong world coal markets, with CIF ARA thermal coal and Australian low-vol HCC metallurgical coal continuing to trade at high levels, enabled U.S. coal exporters to record the highest […]
EVA Forecasts Record Natural Gas Demand for Summer 2018
On May 31, 2018, Natural Gas Supply Association (NGSA) released a report on 2018’s Summer Outlook for Natural Gas. The report was prepared by Energy Ventures Analysis (EVA). Record natural gas demand in the summer of 2018 is expected to be accompanied by a record summer-over-summer production growth, the highest production increase since 2005. Storage […]
Despite Short Month, U.S. Coal Exports Remain Strong as U.S. Coal Exporters Work Through Backlog
Despite it being the shortest month of the year, U.S. coal exporters were able to add to the already high levels of U.S. coal exports, shipping out 9.7 million tons of coal in February 2018, extending the +9 million tons of exports streak now to seven consecutive months. Increases in met coal exports were the […]
2018 Outlook for Gas Pipeline Capacity in the Northeast
Since the beginning of the shale era, the North American natural gas industry has been keenly focused on the outlook for key pipeline takeaway projects in the Northeast. Recently, several major pipeline projects—most notably, Rover Phase 1 and Leach/Rayne Xpress—have been placed into service and have allowed Northeast gas production to reach record highs. Even […]
EVA Report: Navajo Generating Station Remains Low-Cost Power Solution for the Central Arizona Water Conservation District Through 2030
The Central Arizona Water Conservation District (CAWCD) will realize a $370 million savings in power costs through 2030 and municipal and industrial customers will avoid a 30 percent increase in water charges over 10 years if the CAWCD continues purchasing power from the Navajo Generating Station (NGS) rather than the open market, a study released […]